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Archive for August 15, 2009

What is Arbitrage? Who Benefits from Arbitrage?

clipped from en.wikipedia.org

Arbitrage is possible when one of three conditions is met:

  • The same asset does not trade at the same price on all markets (”the law of one price“).
  • Two assets with identical cash flows do not trade at the same price.
  • An asset with a known price in the future does not today trade at its future price discounted at the risk-free interest rate (or, the asset does not have negligible costs of storage; as such, for example, this condition holds for grain but not for securities).
  • Arbitrage is not simply the act of buying a product in one market and selling it in another for a higher price at some later time. The transactions must occur simultaneously to avoid exposure to market risk, or the risk that prices may change on one market before both transactions are complete. In practical terms, this is generally only possible with securities and financial products which can be traded electronically.

      blog it

    Valuable Commodities

    So, it’s clear when you study the facts that Andrew Hall should be paid the $98 million bucks that his contract calls for. It’s certainly awkward for the Obama folks and Citigroup that they need to pay this guy $98 million as the taxpayers pour bucks into Citigroup, so what is the solution?

    Picture from NY TimesIt really isn’t that hard to figure out that the real problem here is the reagonomic tax structure with greatly reduced top tax rates that encourage an explosion of financial trading, hedging, financial instrument packaging and marketing that can be highly profitable. The problem at the end of the day is that it is very hard to identify a meaningful product from this “industry.” It is the ultimate bubble industry, creating market gyrations that allow savvy traders to hedge and corner commodities or their futures (all on electronic media, I bet Mr. Hall hasn’t had crude oil on his hands in his “work” in the energy sector) that at the end of the day creates impressive profits, but no tangible product that you can trade or use on Main Street.

    The simple solution for this financial house of cards is to reinstate a steeply progressive tax rate such as this country had from the Eisenhower to Nixon era. The country did comparatively well in that era with the tax rates that have now been flattened.

    It’s time to raise the tax rates. Mr. Hall should get his $98 million and the federal tax coffers should get about $70 million of it paid in federal taxes. That sounds harsh until you reflect on how difficult it would be to try to live on $28 million per year instead of $98 million. It would require some belt tightening, but I think it could be done.

    clipped from topics.nytimes.com
    Andrew J. Hall is the head of Phibro, a small commodities trading firm owned by Citigroup. In August 2009, his $100 million contract made headlines, as the Treasury Department pondered the question of compensation for the top earners at banks still dependent on federal funds and Citigroup worried about a possible backlash.
    Citigroup is in an awkward spot, and it is hard to say which is worse: the inevitable public outcry if Mr. Hall is paid $100 million, or the risk that he might take his talents to a firm in which the public has no stake.
    The added wrinkle is that Mr. Hall works in a corner of the trading world that appears headed for its own infamy. Regulators are pushing to curb the role of traders like Mr. Hall, whose speculation in the energy markets may have played a major role in the recent gyrations of oil prices.

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    Energy Trader Earns $100 Million For Citigroup

    So, Citigroup, 34% of which is now owned by the tax payers is set to pay an energy trader, Andrew Hall, $98 million for his energy trading, hedging and arbitrage.

    I guess that’s ok since he made the company a much bigger chunk of money with his trading, but it is a political problem for the Obama administration and for Citigroup.

    Two things jump out at me from this story. The first is that this guy who is apparently head of the class for Citigroup earns money in trading, hedging, and arbitrage. It’s real money that he is making by speculating and spotting profit opportunities on the energy market, but what does Andrew actually create, what does he produce through his work, besides profits?

    So much of the US economy these days is in the financial sector, manipulating and handling money, creating profit from trading, but what is the product? This “industry” has given us “innovative products” like credit default options and tronches of toxic assets. Talk about your widgets, these are the ultimate widgets, a trading nomer with no there there.
    clipped from www.nytimes.com

    WASHINGTON — Senior Obama administration officials were wrestling on Friday with how to handle an explosive executive pay issue involving two traders’ compensation package of nearly $130 million that Citigroup says is exempt from government review.

    On Friday, Citigroup, which is facing a government deadline, submitted the pay packages for its 25 senior executives and highest-paid employees. People involved in that process said Citi advised the Treasury that an energy trader named Andrew J. Hall, due $98 million, was exempt from federal review, and so was a second unidentified trader who received more than $30 million.

      blog it

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